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Game 14: Rockies at Nats

Apr 20, 2010, 8:30 PM EDT


Photo by Mark Zuckerman / NATS INSIDER
Scott Olsen delivers tonight's first pitch.

The Nationals and Rockies will play a ballgame tonight, but Colorado's players and coaches will be excused if baseball isn't first and foremost on their minds.

Keli McGregor, president of the Rockies since 2001, died this morning in a hotel room in Salt Lake City, casting a pall over tonight's game at Nationals Park. A pregame tribute and moment of silence are planned to honor McGregor, 48, a former All-American tight end at Colorado State in the 1980s who played in the NFL with the Broncos, Colts and Seahawks.

Once the game gets underway, Scott Olsen will look to build off his strong season debut last week in Philadelphia and pitch the Nationals to their fifth win in six days. Left-hander Jorge de la Rosa starts for the Rockies.

Check back for updates throughout the game, and check the homepage for other news…

ROCKIES AT NATIONALS
Where: Nationals Park
Gametime: 7:05 p.m.
TV: MASN-HD
Radio: WFED-1500 AM, WWFD-820 AM
Weather: Mostly cloudy, 66 degrees, Wind 4 mph out to CF

STARTING LINEUPS
NATIONALS (7-6)
CF Nyjer Morgan
2B Cristian Guzman
3B Ryan Zimmerman
1B Adam Dunn

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  1. Tcostant - Apr 20, 2010 at 8:40 PM

    I'm going to see Steven Strasburg pitch tomorrow. Anyone who has been to a Harrisburg Senators home game; please post any helpful insights.

  2. HabsProf - Apr 20, 2010 at 8:48 PM

    Hey Nats fans: Not only are the Nats not cellar-dwellers, they are actually closer to first place (1.5 games) than they are removed from last (2 games).

  3. HabsProf - Apr 20, 2010 at 9:10 PM

    I did a little digging to see how the Nats RF-platoon system has been doing. I fully understand the meaning of the words "small sample size" when it comes to statistics – still, this stuff is fun, so I went ahead with it anyway.So far, the line for the right-fielders is:PA 53AB 45R 8H 8RBI 13HR 33B 22B 0BB 8SO 15BA 0.178OBP 0.302SLG 0.467OPS 0.769In pulling this together, I attempted to take into account player position switches. For example, in Sunday's game, Guzman started at short but later switched to right. He went 2 for 5 in Sunday's game, but 3 of his 5 at bats occurred while he was at short and the last 2 at bats were while he was in right field. Since his two hits on Sunday occurred during his first three ABs, Guzman contributed an 0 for 2 (with a SO) to the right-field position that day.What leaps out at me is the low average, compensated for by power (3 homers and 2 triples out of 8 hits) and walks (a 0.124 increase from BA to OBP). The other thing that leaps out are the RBIs. First, they collectively have more RBIs than Willingham (again, I am only counting the stats accumulated while they were actually in RF). Second, they are coming in bunches. While the RFs have contributed 13 RBIs, they've come in a grand total of 4 games (Harris contributed 2 in one game, 4 in an other, Tavares contributed 4 in one game, and Maxwell contributed 3 in one game).I don't know if you guys found this interesting, but I thought I would share it.

  4. NatinBeantown - Apr 20, 2010 at 9:34 PM

    HabsProf:That is excellent. Thanks for pulling it together.Taking it one step further, you can multiply out to see some numbers for a 500 PA season pace:75 H, 75 BB, 28 HR, 141 KI'd agree that's a paltry amount of base hits and a lot of walks, but I think we'll see a lot of our RF platoon batting #7 or #8, so they might not see a lot of great pitches.

  5. Section 222 - Apr 20, 2010 at 9:34 PM

    @HabsProf — very interesting indeed. If they keep up this pace, I'll gladly eat my words of criticism for not having a plan B before cutting Dukes. Who wouldn't be happy with 37 HR, 162 RBIs, 99 walks and 25 triples? But they won't.

  6. HabsProf - Apr 20, 2010 at 9:46 PM

    I doubt that anyone would call me great prognosticator if I predicted for the RFers that : 1) BA will rise and 2) walks and slugging (and accompanying RBIs) will decline. Still, if we get a 0.750 to 0.780 OPS and 50+ RBI out of the RF (and so far they've provided decent defense as well), I don't think we can complain too much. That is not major league average, but it is still better than what Dukes gave us last year (though much worse than what Dukes gave in 2008). It also has the advantage of keeping our bench warm and involved.

  7. Section 222 - Apr 20, 2010 at 9:54 PM

    I agree that keeping the bench involved has some value. I'd rather see a big bat out there on an every day basis, but a grab bag of guys who want to play and can deliver on a semi-regular basis isn't all that bad. NatsinBeantown's calculation for 500 AB might make more sense than mine, which was based on the stats for 13 games being stretched out to 162 games. I fear though that we won't get anything like this kind of production from Harris/Taveras/Guzman/Morse/Maxwell.

  8. HabsProf - Apr 20, 2010 at 10:02 PM

    As a general rule, when forecasting in the future, it is always more accurate to do things in the aggregate. Thus, it is much easier to predict total hits than HR, 3B, or 2B. It is easier to predict final OPS than it is to predict BA, OBP, or SLG, walks or any other "sub" level number. I wouldn't try to predict anything much beyond overall OPS (my guess: 0.720 to 0.750, hoping for 0.750 to 0.780) and RBI (my guess: 35 to 50, hoping for 50+).

  9. Aeoliano - Apr 20, 2010 at 10:10 PM

    Would have been nice if M. Rizzo had succeeded in pulling off a trade for BJ Upton. They do have a great prospect in Desmond Jennings that he was blocking. But now with the way he is playing it is unlikely that is going to happen.

  10. Big Oil - Apr 20, 2010 at 10:56 PM

    Habs –Cool data, thanks for sharing.I thought I'd follow up on the Stammen article from earlier today concerning his "inner Livo". Game data really seems to back that up. Compare below the release point, velocity, vertical and horizontal movement charts side by side in your browser (my suggestion would be to open two tabs, scroll to the same point on each page, then click back and forth):4/14/10 vs. Phillies:http://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfxg.aspx?playerid=7274&position=P&season=2010&date=2010-04-14&dh=04/19/10 vs. Rockies:http://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfxg.aspx?playerid=7274&position=P&season=2010&date=2010-04-19&dh=0Note the release point against the Rox seems to be more over the top, which creates less tail or horizontal movement on the ball. Stammen would seem to locate better without the additional movement (makes sense, right?)Finally, his overall velocity is down from the start on 4/14; my guess is that his more relaxed approach (a la Livo) led to more consistent release points and location without the overthrowing present earlier in the season.

  11. Big Oil - Apr 20, 2010 at 10:57 PM

    [link]http://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfxg.aspx?playerid=7274&position=P&season=2010&date=2010-04-19&dh=0[/link]

  12. Big Oil - Apr 20, 2010 at 10:58 PM

    HTML fail. Sorry for the numerous posts – I thought I previewed one.

  13. Anonymous8 - Apr 21, 2010 at 12:03 AM

    When Olsen can't fool lefties, you know you have a problem.

  14. Anonymous8 - Apr 21, 2010 at 12:21 AM

    DeLaRosa (the pitcher) is 2 for 2 with 3 RBIs so far. What does that tell you about how this game is going?

  15. Nervous Nats Fan - Apr 21, 2010 at 12:28 AM

    Mark, please stay in the press box. It's in everyone's best interest. Thanks.Also, do you think Riggleman will make Tyler Walker throw 80 pitches tonight to atone for giving up all of Olsen's runners and four of his own?

  16. Mark Zuckerman - Apr 21, 2010 at 12:30 AM

    Nervous Nats Fan: Hey, I gotta go where I gotta go. Besides, if I hadn't left the press box, I wouldn't have gotten a sweet photo of Scott Olsen handing the ball to Jim Riggleman.But yes, I think we'll be seeing plenty of Tyler Walker tonight. Are you familiar with the phrase: "Taking one for the team?"

  17. Arlington BigFish - Apr 21, 2010 at 1:01 AM

    So which is worse — a pitcher who's consistently bad (say, Daniel Cabrera) or one who's consistently inconsistent (Olsen)? Their reliablity quotient would seem to be about the same. You could assume Cabrera would always be terrible, & you can't assume anything about Olsen.

  18. Nervous Nats Fan - Apr 21, 2010 at 1:18 AM

    Not sure that his arm falling off mid-pitch would be particularly good for the team, but I guess Walker was limited to *only* 54 pitches. (I know they all used to be starters, but their schedules were a lot different then…)

  19. Doc - Apr 21, 2010 at 1:27 AM

    MarkMeister is it a coincidence that every time that you leave the press box, the pitching falls apart? I think not. Hey the pictures are great,just the same. Maybe try a long-range lens, or take the pictures in disguise, or maybe take a secret route to the picture place, and pretend that you're eating a hotdog–with the camera hidden in the bun.

  20. B.R. - Apr 21, 2010 at 1:32 AM

    Why did Nyjer Morgan get pulled out of the game?

  21. Mark Zuckerman - Apr 21, 2010 at 1:42 AM

    B.R.: Appears it was only because of the lopsided score and a desire to give Morgan a rest and Taveras some playing time.

  22. greg - Apr 21, 2010 at 1:44 AM

    bj upton is not the one blocking desmond jennings. jennings is slotted to replace crawford when crawford's contract expires after this season. the rays will not be able to afford to resign him. one more reason not to let upton go.

  23. B.R. - Apr 21, 2010 at 2:02 AM

    Thanks much, Mark! I live in Houston and don't have MLB.tv, so the game threads on the fan forum (WNFF) and this blog are my means of "watching."

  24. Slidell - Apr 21, 2010 at 11:51 AM

    This is something I've noticed before— Whenever there's a solemn moment of silence on some occasion, such as last night for the Rockies President, the music continues to blare on the concourse. For gosh sakes, isn't there an "Off" switch somewhere?

Archives

NL EAST STANDINGS

W L GB
x-WASHINGTON 91 64 --
ATLANTA 76 80 15.5
NEW YORK 76 80 15.5
MIAMI 74 81 17.0
PHILADELPHIA 71 85 20.5
x-Clinched NL East title
Through Monday's games

NL PLAYOFFS STANDINGS

W L GB WCGB
x-WASHINGTON (3) 91 64 --
y-LOS ANGELES 89 68 3.0
y-ST. LOUIS 88 69 4.0
-------------------------
PITTSBURGH 85 71 --
SAN FRANCISCO 85 71 --
MILWAUKEE 80 76 5.0
x-Clinched division title
y-Clinched playoff berth
Through Monday's games

UPCOMING SCHEDULE
TUE: Mets at Nats, 7:05 p.m.
WED: Mets at Nats, 7:05 p.m.
THU: Mets at Nats, 7:05 p.m.
FRI: Marlins at Nats (DH), 1:05 p.m., 7:05 p.m.
SAT: Marlins at Nats, 4:05 p.m.
SUN: Marlins at Nats, 1:35 p.m.
(End of regular season)
MON: OFF
Full season schedule

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ON THE RADIO

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