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Game 67: Nats at Tigers

Jun 17, 2010, 2:42 PM EDT


Photo by Mark Zuckerman / NATS INSIDER
It's win or get swept today at Comerica Park.

DETROIT — In what might as well be dubbed a "must-win" game for the Nationals, Jim Riggleman will trot out a lineup that should appease plenty of fans who have been clamoring for a Willingham-Bernadina-Morse outfield.

Congrats, you're getting it today. Nyjer Morgan takes a seat on the bench this afternoon against Tigers right-hander Jeremy Bonderman. Cristian Guzman is serving as today's DH, so Adam Kennedy is starting at second base. Ivan Rodriguez is also getting today off — no surprise, since they obviously want him behind the plate tomorrow night working with Stephen Strasburg. Wil Nieves will attempt to hit his way out of an 0-for-19 slump.

Luis Atilano takes the mound for the Nationals, trying to salvage one win in this series in Detroit. A loss today would mean a 1-5 interleague road trip and a new low-point for the season (five games under .500).

Check back for updates throughout…

NATIONALS at TIGERS
Where: Comerica Park
Gametime: 1:05 p.m.
TV: MASN-HD
Radio: WFED-1500 AM, WWFD-820 AM
Weather: Sunny, 74 degrees, Wind 5 mph out to RF

STARTING LINEUPS
NATIONALS (31-35)
DH Cristian Guzman
CF Roger Bernadina
3B Ryan Zimmerman
1B Adam Dunn

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  1. Doc - Jun 17, 2010 at 3:07 PM

    Great,many of us are haaaaappy! Mark, what do you think of that OF? I think it could rock!All Riggs needs to do now is put Gonzo at 2nd. Its a different Gozo from last year.

  2. Sec314 - Jun 17, 2010 at 3:11 PM

    This is exactly the line up they should be using, ESPECIALLY when Nieves is catching; even more so when the pitcher bats. Guz at DH is an added bonus. He should be off the field as much as possible.

  3. Uncle Atom - Jun 17, 2010 at 3:21 PM

    Just when I was settling in for a return of the 08-09 malaise. (Another vote here for Gonzo at 2B)

  4. Sam - Jun 17, 2010 at 3:57 PM

    Guzman is still in the lineup – that's bad. Even worse, he's leading off. When will Riggleman learn?

  5. Natsochist - Jun 17, 2010 at 4:00 PM

    Why not flip Bernadina & Desi? I know Bernadina's hitting really well now, but Desi always seems to mash in the 2-hole.

  6. Anonymous - Jun 17, 2010 at 4:01 PM

    You still need table setters at the top of the line up. Riggleman would be better off batting Willingham 2nd because he does WALK. Followed by WALKING machine AD. Dunn doesn't hit well with RISP or runners on base period this year. Too many dingers with no men on. Desmond and Morse should come behind Zimmerman who would be after Dunn. Be better off with Kennedy leading off. Guz never WALKS and IS in a deep SLUMP. Seems like the stubborn Riggleman is still there waiting for his chance to throw Willie Harris or JMax onto his lineup card.

  7. Doc - Jun 17, 2010 at 4:31 PM

    @ Anonymous: Right on! Top of the lineup is supposed to be for guys who get on base—that's JW & The Big Guy. Don't know the stats, but seems that Desmond does wonders with men on base—The Kid might end up with 80 RIBBIES this year. You could make 2 lineups out of these guys–not sure of the sabermetrics of that. Mark needs to check with Davey Johnson. Wonder what ol'Davey thinks about batting Wee Willie at DH???

  8. HHover - Jun 17, 2010 at 4:45 PM

    To pick up on a couple of comments here – why *doesn't* Gonzalez get more playing time generally, and more starts specifically? Defensively, he's at least as good at 2d base as Kennedy, and offensively, their lines are pretty similar this year, with a slight edge to Gonzo tho with fewer ABs.

  9. Section 222 - Jun 17, 2010 at 4:57 PM

    figured this would be a good entry to share a fascinating graphic I saw on MLB network last night– in interleague play at AL parks so far this year, the DH for the AL team is hitting .368 vs. .187 for the NL team's DH. (I may not have the exact numbers, but they were something close to that.) AL teams plan for a DH, whereas NL teams use a utility infielder or 4th outfielder to fill the spot. Big advantage for the AL in those interleague games. In the NL park where the pitchers hit, the NL's average is higher than the AL's, but still below the Mendoza line because pitchers are crappy hitters. So not that big an advantage for the NL. No measurement of pitchers' success rate at laying down sacrifice bunts.

  10. Joe K - Jun 17, 2010 at 5:01 PM

    On the team's biggest concern…I got to this party late – two things worth highlighting, in addition to what was already said. The first is injuries. I have to believe that the Nats have a medical staff as good as anybody's, though I would certainly make sure that there is no question about players not receiving MRI (please!) as part of their physical examinations. That said, as a fan I can't help noting that the Nats seem to suffer more unexpected injuries than other teams – I don't think that's just me as a fan overreacting to my own team. Some of it is, I'm sure, just the fact that the Nats are (or have been) in a position of trying to catch lightning in a bottle with players who look like they've been overlooked by other teams – and when you do that, sometimes you get burned. However, I think there is work to be done, just with getting players to be more frank about their condition. From the player's perspective, I can understand the impulse to play through pain. But the last series provides management with a perfect counterpoint – if I were in management, I'd take every player aside, and talk to him about Austin Kearns: Did he do himself any favors by trying to gut it out? Maybe they have already done this, and maybe it wouldn't work anyway, but that's about as much as I can see from the outside.The second concern, and more of a 'baseball' concern, is that the bullpen's workload may be difficult to sustain. It isn't as obvious now, because they aren't getting the lead as often, but it will be an ongoing concern if the Nats stay near the pennant race. It isn't as if Riggleman can tell all of his starters to go seven or eight innings, but this team will be better off if they can get two innings out of their relievers from time to time, just so that they don't use most of the 'pen when the starter goes six innings. I saw Burnett go two innings recently – I'd like to see more of that, because the back end of our bullpen is actually pretty good now. I think it's great to see Storen-Clippard-Capps in the last three innings, but I think they'll be more effective if other guys occasionally work into that mix, and if they can get to Capps with fewer outings of <1 inning.

  11. HHover - Jun 17, 2010 at 5:13 PM

    Mark, about your 12:46 update:Two of those 3 stats you just listed for Gonzo from last year aren't really that different from Kennedy's for this year (OBP is the exception, and Gonzo made up for fewer walks with better slugging). If that makes Gonzo not "an everyday player in the big leagues," what exactly does it make the 7-year-older Kennedy? I think you're right about Gonzo, but I think the fact that he even looks like an attractive option at 2d base underscores the Nats' weakness there–they've got two aging vets and one so-so bench player.

  12. NatsJack in Florida - Jun 17, 2010 at 6:29 PM

    Nice baseball play by Bernandina by throwing out the guy at second rather than making the Nyjer Morgan – miss the cut off man and let guys advance throw- to the plate.

  13. Natsochist - Jun 17, 2010 at 6:37 PM

    Hey Mark,Technically, Atilano did exactly what you said he should do:"Atilano has managed to hold the Tigers to two runs through four. At this rate, he may be able to afford giving up anything more if his team is going to have a chance at winning today and avoiding the sweep." (emphasis added).

  14. Mark Zuckerman - Jun 17, 2010 at 6:40 PM

    Natsochist: Yeah, yeah. You're right. But have you ever heard the phrase: "Do what I mean, not what I say?" :)

  15. Bowdenball - Jun 17, 2010 at 6:42 PM

    I feel like maybe I jinxed us when I wrote a couple days ago that Livan and Atilano haven't been "savvy," they've been lucky.This one's on me, folks.

  16. Grandstander - Jun 17, 2010 at 6:58 PM

    Livo has a .245 BABIP with an 81.2 LOB% and a 5.16 xFIPAtilano has a .276 BABIP with a 70.1 LOB% and a 5.34 xFIPSay what you want about sabrmetrics, but those numbers tell the story of 2 pitchers who were getting VERY lucky. Regression was simply bound to occur.Also, Mark, do you have any feel for how much longer Nieves is going to be with this club? At this point, he only serves as a backstop and an out in the lineup. Surely Burke could be more capable as Pudge's backup, no?

  17. natsone_va - Jun 17, 2010 at 7:09 PM

    Pardon my French, but this game is f***ing frustrating. Looks like it may only be worth it to watch one out of every five games. If we don't take 4 of 6 in the upcoming homestand and then 2 of 3 from the stinkin' Baltimorons, I'm going to be livid!!!

  18. NatsJack in Florida - Jun 17, 2010 at 7:25 PM

    Holy Cow! A 2 out RBI for Dunn. 1 for 27!

  19. Anonymous - Jun 17, 2010 at 7:35 PM

    Unless I've missed something, in eight at-bats for the Tigers, only one 1-2-3 inning by our pitchers. Meanwhile, our hitters are making Detroit's pitchers look like hall of famers.

  20. cadeck13 - Jun 17, 2010 at 7:45 PM

    Wow, I guess we are an average team, I was really hoping for more. Alas, we are definitely better than '09 & '08 but it still doesn't console me. This is frustrating! One out of every five games? I need more :)

  21. Pete - Jun 17, 2010 at 8:58 PM

    Regression to the mean, my friends. The Nats were not as good as their early record. The starting pitching and defense is really bad. Outside Zim, Dunn and Hammer there's no pop in the lineup. Guzman and Morgan have regressed terribly.

  22. DJ - Jun 17, 2010 at 8:58 PM

    Mark-How much longer will we have to rely on Atilano and Martin? Why not call up Detwiler and then make a move for Lee or Haren?

  23. Anonymous - Jun 17, 2010 at 9:16 PM

    I really wished Livan could have pitched the first game of this series. A match-up between him and Scherzer may have given us a chance to get one of these games. Verlander has improved every year and Bonderman is hitting his stride after a major injury. It wasn't long ago and the Tiger's were at the crossroads the Nats are at now. We have to keep pushing forward. The pitching needs to be addressed now, the defense a close second. We cannot waste the positive buzz that SS has generated. Let's hope that Rizzo puts a plan in action soon.

Archives

FINAL NL EAST STANDINGS

W L GB
x-WASHINGTON 96 66 --
ATLANTA 79 83 17.0
NEW YORK 79 83 17.0
MIAMI 77 85 19.0
PHILADELPHIA 73 89 23.0

NL POSTSEASON SCHEDULE

NL WILD CARD GAME
WED: Giants at Pirates, 8:07 p.m. (ESPN)

NLDS
FRI: Game 1, Pirates at Nats, 12:07 p.m.,
OR Giants at Nats, 3:07 p.m. (FS1)
SAT: Game 2, PIT/SF at Nats, 5:37 p.m. (FS1)
MON: Game 3, Nats at PIT/SF, TBA (MLBN)
OCT. 7: Game 4, Nats at PIT/SF, TBA (FS1)*
OCT. 9: Game 5, PIT/SF at Nats, TBA (FS1)*
*if necessary

Mark joins Rob Carlin and Joe Orsulak every Thursday at 4 p.m. on Comcast SportsNet for a half-hour show on the Nats, Orioles and rest of MLB. Re-airs Thursdays at 11:30 p.m., Saturdays at 9 a.m. and Sundays at 11:30 a.m.

ON THE RADIO

As ESPN-980 AM's Nats Insider, Mark makes daily appearances on the station's various shows. Here's the 2014 schedule (subject to change)...

MON: 12:45 p.m.
TUE: 2:30 p.m.
WED: 4:30 p.m.
THU: 2:30 p.m.
FRI: 1:30 p.m., 5:30 p.m.
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