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2013 MLB Predictions

Mar 31, 2013, 3:00 PM EDT

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Will the Tigers celebrate a World Series title in 2013? One of us thinks so.

Well, it's that time again. Everyone out there is making their predictions for the upcoming season, which begins at long last tonight when the AL West's newest rivals (the Astros and Rangers) meet in Houston. And plenty of those experts out there — it appears even to be a majority of them — are picking the Nationals to win the World Series.

Do Chase Hughes and I concur? You'll have to keep reading to find out how far we predict the Nats will go in 2013, not to mention how every division will finish and who will win the major postseason awards in each league.

Enjoy, and be sure to check back here come October to see how foolish we were…

MARK ZUCKERMAN
NL EAST
1. Nationals
2. Braves*
3. PhilliesRead more ยป

  1. Drew - Mar 31, 2013 at 3:15 PM

    Wow, Chase, the Mariners?Hope that limb you're out on supports your weight.

  2. Faraz Shaikh - Mar 31, 2013 at 3:29 PM

    actually I think Al West is a bit weak right now with Rangers not doing much in the off-season and Angels rotation isn't deep enough. With astros in now and mariners' improved offense, they may have a decent chance at coming second in that division. they wouldn't be my first choice though.

  3. P3-C_FE - Mar 31, 2013 at 4:02 PM

    If the Ms make the playoffs, then maybe Mike Morse wins the MVP

  4. Candide - Mar 31, 2013 at 4:03 PM

    I think you pick the mariners as your dark horse/upset team.Kinda like Florida Gulf Coast…

  5. peric - Mar 31, 2013 at 4:37 PM

    Chase must be a Mikey fan. :)

  6. Doc - Mar 31, 2013 at 4:37 PM

    So MarkMeister, I hope that you have the Nats at more than 84 wins this year??

  7. Mark Zuckerman - Mar 31, 2013 at 4:43 PM

    You'll find out tomorrow when I post the annual beat writer predictions!

  8. peric - Mar 31, 2013 at 4:46 PM

    Neck-and-neck between the Braves and Nats. The Nats have the rotation and the Braves have the bullpen. The Braves have the offensive and defensive edge. It boils down to injuries and depth. Right now the Nats look a lot stronger in the category of depth. Depth plus a better than average bullpen equates to 100+ wins.

  9. BigCat - Mar 31, 2013 at 4:55 PM

    Darn Zuck…..you throwing the Nats under the bus in the series. Not good. We're gonna remember this

  10. NCNatsie - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:01 PM

    Chase, on the theory that a pitcher can't win the Cy Young without being the best pitcher on his own team, how about rank ordering the following factors that might put JZimm in that position:a. His new change-upb. His contract situationc. Strasburg and/or Gio won't be as good as last year.d. One more year after his TJ surgery.e. Other

  11. Positively Half St. - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:03 PM

    I'm all for Michael Morse winning the MVP. I wrote an entry last year about "Players I wish Ill in 2012." I just can't bring up the bile to write a similar piece this year. Some of the guys that have left the Nats (like Morse) are near to my heart, and perennial targets like Nyjer Morgan have fallen so far that it would be silly to care.+1/2St.

  12. sjm308 - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:04 PM

    So much fun to pick and then watch as they go totally wrong. I was much happier that my 87 wins was crushed. Not so sure about the 95 I am predicting this year but again its funI went : Nationals/Reds/Dodgers/ Braves over GiantsNationals to the World SeriesToronto/Detroit/California/ Tampa Bay over TexasDetroit to the World SeriesNats Win! Nats Win! Nats Win! Nats Win!Nats Win!

  13. John C. - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:05 PM

    Peric, the Braves have the defensive edge? Really? The Braves made fewer errors last year, but errors are in the eye of the official scorer, and don't reflect ranges. The Nationals were better at converting calls in play into outs last year (defensive efficiency). The Braves got better at SS (I'm a fan of Andrelton Simmons) and lost Chipper Jones, who was not very good with the glove. But Jones's replacements aren't any better (Chris Johnson). B.J. Upton is good in CF – but Bourn is better, and he's gone. Uggla is still at second base and still lousy, and no one knows how Brian McCann's shoulder will be.OTOH the Nats got better in the OF (less Tyler Moore, Michael Morse and Lombardozzi) and better at 3b (a healthy Ryan Zimmerman). There is no position at which they are worse defensively than last year. So this is my counter to your proposition, Peric. The Nationals were better than the Braves defensively last year, and got significantly better in the offseason while the Braves have essentially done nothing more than break even. The two worst defensive regulars for both teams are both on the Braves (Uggla and whoever is playing 3b).

  14. John C. - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:06 PM

    Converting baseballs in play into outs, of course:http://www.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/index.php?cid=1172187

  15. sjm308 - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:06 PM

    1/2 Street: I feel for you but I wish this nonsense about people wishing LannEn good will would stop. He is a Philadelphia Phillie people!! If he was with the Mariners, Astro's, hell even the Yankee's (well maybe not that far) I would like to see him do well but not this year.

  16. SonnyG10 - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:09 PM

    Last fall I predicted 106 wins for the Nats in regular season. I see no reason to change that now. Nats will have a dogfight with the Barves though

  17. Positively Half St. - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:17 PM

    sjm308-Good point about Lannan. He is even talking trash about the Nats.

  18. Laddie Blah Blah - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:45 PM

    "Last fall I predicted 106 wins for the Nats in regular season. I see no reason to change that now. Nats will have a dogfight with the Barves though."I think you've got that just about right, give or take a win or two. Any dogfight with the Braves would be as much of a contest as a pit bull against a Georgia poodle. The Nats are the best team in baseball going in. No one can beat them. They will have to beat themselves, like they managed to do last year.Most potent lineup, best overall defense, very good overall team speed, plenty of power, best rotation in the game, an excellent bench, one of the best bull pens, and one of the winningest managers in the game.Anyone who picks any other team in the NL just isn't paying attention. The Nats are loaded. No one else comes close.

  19. Laddie Blah Blah - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:46 PM

    "Last fall I predicted 106 wins for the Nats in regular season. I see no reason to change that now. Nats will have a dogfight with the Barves though."I think you've got that just about right, give or take a win or two. Any dogfight with the Braves would be as much of a contest as a pit bull against a Georgia poodle. The Nats are the best team in baseball going in. No one can beat them. They will have to beat themselves, like they managed to do last year.Most potent lineup, best overall defense, very good overall team speed, plenty of power, best rotation in the game, an excellent bench, one of the best bull pens, and one of the winningest managers in the game.Anyone who picks any other team in the NL just isn't paying attention. The Nats are loaded. No one else comes close.

  20. Faraz Shaikh - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:50 PM

    Positively Half st., any links? otherwise I refuse to believe that and continue to wish him well. For me, wishing him well is not the same as wishing Phillies well for the coming season.

  21. Faraz Shaikh - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:51 PM

    In other news, the countdown is below 24 hours now. :D

  22. Doc - Mar 31, 2013 at 5:54 PM

    Here,here John C.! Thanks for defending the Nats' defense! Maybe, just maybe, the Braves have an edge in OF defense, but that's it.Here's an opportunity for peric to defend himself.

  23. Positively Half St. - Mar 31, 2013 at 6:20 PM

    Faraz-It was mild- mainly talk about how he was sent down last year gives him extra incentive, gave him the sense of being disrespected.+1/2St.

  24. Dave - Mar 31, 2013 at 6:28 PM

    Nats 102 wins. They face Detroit in the WS and win it in 6.

  25. NatsNut - Mar 31, 2013 at 6:36 PM

    I like Mark's pick for the Pirates for 3rd place but Marlins over Mets is surprising.I like Chase's Yankees in last but Mariners winning wild card is surprising. I like NatsJack's sleeper team of Diamondbacks too.

  26. MicheleS - Mar 31, 2013 at 6:46 PM

    102 wins. book it

  27. Dave - Mar 31, 2013 at 7:03 PM

    Michele, either someone owes someone a Coke or else the rules are suspended for season predictions.

  28. A DC Wonk - Mar 31, 2013 at 7:40 PM

    1/2 Street: I feel for you but I wish this nonsense about people wishing LannEn good will would stop.Doesn't necessarily have to be a contradiction. I'd be perfectly happy if he had his best ERA ever, lowest WHIP ever, but, due to anemic run support, ended up as a slow-ball version of one of Nolan Ryan's epic seasons — the year when at age 40 he had an ERa of 2.76 (leading both leagues), 270K's (leading the league), and 5th in Cy Young.And an 8-16 record.

  29. Steady Eddie - Mar 31, 2013 at 8:31 PM

    1/2 street — yeah, chip-as-motivation is understandable. It was the local paper in Florida (for whom Phila. is the "local" team for ST purposes) that called it a "snub", not Lannan. As they say, it wasn't personal, just business.And, oh, yeah — GO BLUE!

  30. Section 222 - Mar 31, 2013 at 9:18 PM

    Well, Lannan was disrespected. So what? Did he think he was actually one of the top 5 starters on the team still? If so, then he was delusional. I'm with sjm — time to let go of the Lannan love. He's a Phillie and we want to kick his butt. As for how he does against other teams, I'm fine with him beating the Braves and don't really care about the rest. I'm not scared of the Phillies challenging us for the title at all. Not at all. They are old and washed up. The only reason everyone is picking them to finish third in the division is that the Mets and Marlins will be terrible.

Archives

NL EAST STANDINGS

W L GB
x-WASHINGTON 89 64 --
ATLANTA 76 77 13.0
MIAMI 74 79 15.0
NEW YORK 74 80 15.5
PHILADELPHIA 70 84 19.5
x-Clinched NL East title
Through Friday's games

NL PLAYOFFS STANDINGS

W L GB WCGB
x-WASHINGTON 89 64 --
LOS ANGELES 88 66 1.5
ST. LOUIS 86 68 3.5
-----------------------
SAN FRANCISCO 84 69 5.0 +1.0
PITTSBURGH 83 70 6.0 --
MILWAUKEE 79 75 10.5 4.5
x-Clinched division title
Through Friday's games

UPCOMING SCHEDULE
SAT: Nats at Marlins, 7:10 p.m.
SUN: Nats at Marlins, 1:10 p.m.
MON: OFF
TUE: Mets at Nats, 7:05 p.m.
WED: Mets at Nats, 7:05 p.m.
THU: Mets at Nats, 7:05 p.m.
FRI: Marlins at Nats (DH), 1:05 p.m., 7:05 p.m.
Full season schedule

Mark joins Rob Carlin and Joe Orsulak every Thursday at 4 p.m. on Comcast SportsNet for a half-hour show on the Nats, Orioles and rest of MLB. Re-airs Thursdays at 11:30 p.m., Saturdays at 9 a.m. and Sundays at 11:30 a.m.

ON THE RADIO

As ESPN-980 AM's Nats Insider, Mark makes daily appearances on the station's various shows. Here's the 2014 schedule (subject to change)...

MON: 12:45 p.m.
TUE: 2:30 p.m.
WED: 4:30 p.m.
THU: 2:30 p.m.
FRI: 1:30 p.m., 5:30 p.m.
SAT: 10:30 a.m.

*All times Eastern. You can also listen to the station on 94.3 FM, 92.7 FM and online at ESPN980.com. Click here for past audio clips.

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