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VIDEO: Span more comfortable heading into second year with Nats

Feb 3, 2014, 10:47 AM EST

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At Nats Fest 2013, outfielder Denard Span met many of his then-new teammates for the first time. He had recently been acquired in a trade with the Minnesota Twins and was switching organizations and leagues.

Now with a full year in Washington under his belt, Span is much more comfortable heading into this season with a better idea of what to expect. There will be an adjustment with having a new manager, but he likes the continuity for the Nats as they approach 2014. Span was excellent in the second half of last season with a .302 batting average after the All-Star break. He hopes to carry over that success to the beginning of this year.

Here is Mark’s one-on-one interview with Span from January’s Nats Fest:

  1. David Proctor - Feb 3, 2014 at 11:16 AM

    The ZiPS projections are up. Here are some relevant projections:

    Harper: .279/.363/.523, 28HR, 77RBI, 29 2B, 7 3B, 15SB, 5 WAR
    Desmond: .269/.315/.439, 2OHR, 78RBI, 32 2B, 4 3B, 15SB, 4 WAR
    Rendon: .262/.341/.419, 11HR, 55 RBI, 27 2B, 4 3B, 2 2B, 2.4 WAR
    Werth: .267/.353/.449, 18HR, 61 RBI, 22 2B, 1 3B, 10SB, 2.2WAR
    Ramos: .267 /.320/.440, 13 HR, 49 RBI, 13 2B, 0 3B, 0SB, 2 WAR (it only has Ramos getting ~300PA)

    Gio: 30 starts, 188IP, 3.15 ERA, 183K, 4WAR
    Fister; 30 starts, 192IP, 3.19ERA, 144K, 4WAR
    Strasburg: 25 starts, 150IP, 2.83ERA, 164K, 4WAR
    JZimm: 28 starts, 189IP, 3.29ERA, 141K, 4WAR

    Obviously some of our starters will make 32 or 33 starts. Gio has done it every year for the last 3 and JZimm has done it the last 2. However, these tend to be conservative. Here’s the full list:

    • Eugene in Oregon - Feb 3, 2014 at 11:34 AM

      Thanks for the link. I believe that ZIPS uses a formula to project starts (by both pitchers and position players) based on a weighted average of their starts over the past two or three years. Thus, players like Stephen Strasburg, Wilson Ramos, and Jayson Werth will be projected for fewer starts, ABs, HRs, RBIs, etc. than ZIPS would otherwise project for an entire season.

    • Faraz Shaikh - Feb 3, 2014 at 11:51 AM

      Thanks for the link. Hope Span performs better than his projections.

    • DaveB - Feb 3, 2014 at 12:14 PM

      Thx David … just curious, have you (or anyone else for that matter) compared this with Steamer, and by extension then, tried to see if this would have us ranked higher in fangraphs team rankings? I saw in the comments section that ZiPS has us in a virtual dead heat with Atlanta … seems reasonable at this point … can’t wait for the real games to begin!

  2. NatsLady - Feb 3, 2014 at 11:40 AM

    Did you see the ZIPS for Clip? 138 ERA+ 1.1 WAR 10.31 K/9. (70 innings). By this projection he should get his $6+ million….

  3. masterfishkeeper - Feb 3, 2014 at 12:29 PM

    Cool link. Interesting how much better Leon is projected to do than Solano. Of course, the Nats will probably have Leon start the season in Syracuse, to work on his hitting (assuming Ramos is healthy).





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